Written Sunday February 11th at 10:25 AM
Here’s how the teams would be placed by using the MHSAA formula. Also included district numbers where the teams are at in the districts based on their assingments.
North Farmington (24): The Raiders have not been themselves despite being locked as the top seed in their district. North Farmington has been up and down which un Coach Todd Negoshian like. Negoshian will get either Livonia Stevenson or Southfield Arts and Tech in the district semifinals which is very favorable. Livonia Franklin could also be in play if Farmington were to drop from the second seed. North Farmington is in a good spot to have a deep postseason run despite their recent struggles.
Ferndale (59): The Eagles have been up and down this season. They are locked as the two seed in the district behind Warren Lincoln. They would see Detroit Pershing in the district semifinals pending a monster upset from Ferndale University. Coach Juan Rickman knew before the season started was that they would have to go through the Abes if they wanted to defend the Division Two State crown. Rickman will have his hands full in this district with the likelihood of playing Detroit Pershing in the semifinals and Warren Lincoln for the district crown.
West Bloomfield (25): This will not be an easy postseason for Coach Arnette Jordan and company. The Lakers are the two seed behind Orchard Lake St. Marys. West Bloomfield could see Walled Lake Central in the district semifinals pending if they don’t get upset by Walled Lake Western in the first round. It has been a really good season for Jordan and West Bloomfield. If the Lakers get by the Vikings which that would be most likely then they would see Orchard Lake St. Marys in the district finals. It’s going to be a tough ask for Jordan and company but they know they have to get by their neighbors to the north at some point during the season.
Adams (30): The Highlanders host the district but they are locked into the two seed in the district which is okay. They would play Romeo or Rochester on Wednesday in the district semifinals and then possibly Utica, Stoney Creek, or Utica Eisenhower in the district finals. I like where Coach Isiah Novak’s team is at in the district considering they host the district and have a very manageable path in the postseason.
Clarkston (28): The Wolves have been very inconsistent but have played a very tough schedule for Coach Tim Waslik. They have two scenarios at the moment. They are the A team in the district for now but they can get to the two seed if Avondale loses one game this week. If Clarkston gets the two seed then they won’t be playing until Wednesday in the district semifinals against Avondale or Pontiac but if they remain the A team then they would have to play Pontiac on Monday in the first round. It’s an interesting spot for the Wolves but it’s manageable considering the schedule they have played all season long.
Oak Park (23): The Knights have had an injury riddled season for Coach Durrand Sheppard but they could make up for it come in the postseason. They have an outside shot of being seeded but they are likely the A team in the district which means they would see Royal Oak in the first round and if they get by the Ravens they would have to play Groves in the district semifinals but there is an outside chance they could get the two seed pending what happens to Berkley which would be huge for Sheppard if they got the two seed. Oak Park hasn’t been healthy all season, we know what Sheppard’s team is capable of being when healthy. The Knights have a shot to win this district.
Groves (23): The Falcons host and are locked as the top seed in their district. Groves has survived the gauntlet in the Red under Coach Marc West along with a ton of injuries to their star players as well. The Falcons would see either Oak Park or Royal Oak in the district semifinals. If the Knights get healthy then that district semifinal game could be a doozy. Groves has a shot to do some great things and win the district crown but if they get a healthy Oak Park then that would be very interesting to see.
Troy (29): The Colts are locked into the two seed in their district which means they would play Troy Athens in the district semifinals. It’s always interesting to see a team play each other three times in the district which is the likely case between the Colts and the Red Hawks with the winner likely playing Birmingham Brother Rice in the district finals. Either way you’re playing Wednesday and that’s the bottom line. If they want to host the regional again you have to get past Birmingham Brother Rice, that’s the bottom line.
Harper Woods (58): The Pioneers are in a very interesting spot. If they keep winning, they would have the top seed along with hosting the district. If they are the second seed that’s all right as well. Coach TaJuan Porter’s team wouldn’t be playing until Wednesday in a district that doesn’t look that strong. Harper Woods has the two seed right now which means they wouldn’t have to play Detroit East English Village Prep in the district semifinals but if they get the top seed then they would see Detroit East English Village Prep in the district semifinals. It’s a great spot but it would be an easier road if they avoided Detroit East English Village Prep in the district semifinals.
Troy Athens (29): The Red Hawks are the C team in the postseason which means they would get Troy on Wednesday in the district semifinals on their home floor. If they get by the Colts then they would see Birmingham Brother Rice likely in the district finals. It’s a tough path but a great opportunity for Coach Dave Scott to go against your arch rival in the district semifinals.
Seaholm (29): The Maples are locked in as the A team which means they would play Bloomfield Hills on Monday in the first round. If they beat the Blackhawks they would see Birmingham Brother Rice in the district semifinals. It will be a tough chore for Coach Mike DeGeeter to play that Princeton offense but it works well with Seaholm.
Lake Orion (28): The Dragons are locked in as the B team in the district which means they will play the hosts Waterford Kettering in the first round. If they get by the Captains then they would play Waterford Mott in the district semifinals which would be a very interesting matchup considering how tough the White has been this season. It’s a tough but a great opportunity for Coach Jose Andrades and Lake Orion to make some noise with a very young team who have been up and down this season.
Farmington (24): The Falcons are in a very unique spot in the postseason. Coach Bryan Jordan has done a very good job in his first year at Farmington. The Falcons are the second seed which means they wouldn’t play until Wednesday in the district semifinals however there is a chance they could play in the first round which means they would play Redford Thurston since they are the C team. If they can make it to the district finals they would likely play arch rival North Farmington which will be a daunting task. It will be very interesting to see what happens but having the second seed would be a huge advantage if Johnson’s team can keep it.
Bloomfield Hills (29): The Blackhawks are locked as the B team in their district which means they would play Seaholm on Monday with the winner getting Birmingham Brother Rice in the district semifinals. It has been a rough year for Coach Brian Canfield and Bloomfield Hills but they have shown a ton of improvement as of late. It should be very interesting if they do get the Warriors but they have the Maples first.
Southfield Arts and Tech (24): It has been a very tough season for Coach Terrance Porter and the Warriors. They are locked as the D team in the postseason which means they will play Livonia Stevenson as of right now. Things could change in the next week or so especially with how tight the battle for the second seed is in the district with Farmington, Livonia Stevenson, and Livonia Franklin. It will be a very tough ask for Porter and Southfield Arts and Tech in the postseason.
Stoney Creek (30): It has been a very tough year for Coach Jeff Olind and the Cougars. The formula gave the Cougars no favors. They are the B team in the district which means they would play a very good Utica Eisenhower program in the first round. If they manage to win that game they would play Utica in the district semifinals. Whoever plays Utica, I like their chances considering the Chieftains haven’t really played the schedule that both Stoney Creek and Utica Eisenhower have despite Utica having a win over Utica Eisenhower during the season. If the Cougars can win over the Eagles and Chieftains which they are more than capable of doing then it’s anyone’s ball game in the district finals. Getting to the district finals would be a huge accomplishment for Stoney Creek.
Avondale (28): The Yellow Jackets are in a very interesting spot. Avondale has the two seed for now in the district which means they won’t have to play until the district semifinals against Clarkston or Pontiac but if Clarkston passes them then they would have to play Pontiac on Monday. The Yellow Jackets have been rolling under Coach Jaret Thomas but seeing Clarkston or Pontiac who has a win over Avondale this season is a real possibility. It’s a tough spot for Thomas knowing the likelihood of having to see the Wolves or the Phoenix in the postseason.
Oxford (27): The Wildcats are in a very tough spot. They are locked as the C team which means they will play Grand Blanc on Wednesday in the district semifinals in their building. The Bobcats have really improved and have played a really tough schedule. It has been a really good year for Coach Joe Fedorichik in his first year with Oxford. They have a shot if they play very well, it’s a tough chore and if they manage to upset the Bobcats then they would play either Davison or Holly in the district finals. It’s a tough ask for Fedorichik and the Wildcats in the postseason.
Rochester (30): The Falcons have a somewhat manageable first round matchup as the A team in the district. They would play Romeo which sets up a very interesting guard matchup between Max Mohl and Aiden Tague. Whoever wins gets Adams in the district semifinals. It will be very interesting to see how this goes but it’s a great first round but a tough district semifinal matchup for Coach Nick Evola and company.
Berkley (23): The Bears look like they are going to the two seed in their district which means they will see Warren Mott in the district semifinals but that is not certain. Berkley has had a strong year under Coach Joe Sermo but have had some road blocks along the way. The Bears need to keep winning just to keep the second seed or Oak Park could sneak up on them which if that were the case they would be playing Royal Oak on that Monday in the first round and Oak Park would play on Wednesday. Sermo knows how important getting the two seed is for his team, if they win out this week they would get the two seed, if not then next Sunday will be very important.
Pontiac (28): The Phoenix are going to have a really tough road in the postseason. They are the C team in the district which means they could see Clarkston or Avondale in the first round. Coach Andrew Myers has done an outstanding job with the Phoenix in his first season. Pontiac did beat Avondale in the regular season which helps but seeing Clarkston will be a tall order whether it’s in the first round or the district semifinals. It’s going to be very tough for the Phoenix in the postseason.
Royal Oak (23): The Ravens are locked as the B team in their district which means they would play Oak Park in the first round. There is an outside chance they could play Berkley pending on what happens with the Bears if they struggle this week in the first round which would be more manageable for them than having the play the Knights. Royal Oak has been up and down under Coach Aaron Smith. They are more than capable of playing spoiler to anyone who plays them. It will be a tall task for the Ravens in the postseason that is for sure.
Ferndale University (59): The Eagles have really struggled this season. They are locked in as the C team and would play the hosts Detroit Pershing in the first round. If they get by the Doughboys on Monday then a clash with Ferndale is very possible in the district semifinals. It will be very tough for Coach Josh Nicks and Ferndale University in the postseason.
Here is the MPR formula